![]() ![]() Management guidelines for each stepped category.Transition between steps based on changes in fire behaviour that have operational consequences.A stepped design to aid in operational decision making.A fine-grained scale of fire danger that runs from 0 to 100 and beyond.The FBI, and how to apply it to your work, will be the focus of the rest of this module.įBI forecasts are available on government agency intranet portals and through the registered users’ section of the Bureau of Meteorology website. The FBI is designed to support fire management professionals and decision makers. The FBI runs from 0 to 100 and beyond, with increasingly high values indicating increasingly dangerous fire behaviour and therefore fire danger risk. csv format.The Fire Behaviour Index (FBI) is a simple numerical scale that can be used consistently across Australia, allowing users to make decisions that require finer detail than the four Fire Danger Rating categories allow. Links below the plot enable the download of time series data in the spreadsheet compatible. The statistical uncertainty associated with the climate projections is conveyed by showing the mean, best case, and worst case of the multi-model outcomes on the time series plot.Ĭlick and hover the mouse over the time series plot to view the data values and to reveal action buttons for features such as “zoom” and “download plot as a png”. Likewise, the trans-national average for the EEA member and cooperating countries (EEA 38) can be accessed via the "Europe" bounding box. Hover the mouse pointer over a region to view the value of the area mean or click on a region to request a time series plot. The regions on the map facilitate dynamic access to the underlying data. The size of the regions shown on the map can be adjusted by selecting the appropriate NUTS level: national level (NUTS-0), first sub-national level (NUTS-1), second sub-national level (NUTS-2), and third sub-national level (NUTS-3). The EUROSTAT NUTS classification ( Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics) is a hierarchical system for dividing up the economic territory of Europe. The map shows the 30-year average of the projected change in the number of days with high fire danger for the chosen time period and scenario plotted as area means for each region. Statistics for the number of days with high fire danger are also available via the "Explore in Detail" button as national, sub-national and trans-national area-means for which time series data can be plotted. The projected change in the number of days per year with high fire danger (FWI greater than 30) is presented for three CMIP5 scenarios: RCP2.6 with low greenhouse gas emissions, RCP4.5 with medium greenhouse gas emissions and RCP8.5 with high greenhouse gas emissions. Further information about this index can be found in the C3S documentation resources in the Climate Data Store. The data was collated on behalf of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). Very high danger: FWI is between 38.0 and 50. High danger: FWI is between 21.3 and 38.0. Moderate danger: FWI is between 11.2 and 21.3. The FWI can be understood in terms of six danger classes based on the European Forest fire Information System (EFFIS) classification. The projected changes to fire danger under future climate conditions are calculated relative to the 1986-2005 period. The GEFF model was run for four different climate scenarios: the present climate (labelled 'historical'), and three Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios consistent with an optimistic emission scenario where emissions start declining beyond 2020 (RCP2.6), a scenario where emissions start declining beyond 2040 (RCP4.5) and a pessimistic scenario where emissions continue to rise throughout the century (RCP8.5). Projections from multiple global climate models downscaled to a regional climate model were used to generate the meteorological input for the GEFF model. The FWI is generated using the Global ECMWF Fire Forecasting model (GEFF). The projected change in the number of days with high fire danger is calculated relative to the 1986-2005 period. FWI calculator v.7.0.2.76 was used in this study for. The calculation of the FWI is based on 24-hour accumulated precipitation and daily noon values of air temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed. Daily forest fire data was provided by the Department of Wildfire Prevention of Sanming Forestry Bureau. The incidence of high fire danger is expressed as the number of days per year with a FWI greater than 30. The FWI uses information about fuel moisture and weather conditions to determine fire behaviour. The Canadian Fire Weather Index System (FWI) is used to assess fire danger in a harmonized way across Europe. ![]()
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