He has been lights-out this season when throwing deep, making every leaderboard in this article.Copyright © 2023 Washington Commanders. If the MVP race was determined by the deep ball, Rodgers would probably win it. Of the lists we’ve shown, this is the one that best reflects overall value on long passes. This stat shows which quarterback has helped his team win the most when throwing the deep ball. Throwing off-target passes and deserved interceptions (caught or not) will bury a signal-caller, while he will be rewarded for leading receivers to more yards after catch and making something out of a broken pocket.Ī more in-depth explanation can be found here. From that point, the passer and receiver split responsibility for how well they perform above that expectation. The core assumption of passing Points Earned is that each throw has a certain expected outcome based on information like the route, the depth, and the coverage. Here is a quick explanation of Points Earned, as shared by Alex Vigderman: Points Earned is one way to determine which quarterbacks have made the largest positive impact while throwing the deep ball. Rodgers makes another appearance on a deep ball leaderboard, and he and Mahomes share the distinction of their receivers being in the top 10 in the league in dropped deep passes, so there were even more touchdowns left on the table.Ī surprising name on this list is Dak Prescott, who missed most of the season due to injury but was incredibly prolific in the early going, leveraging his excellent receiver group and terrible defense. Having Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce to throw to has helped Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes top the NFL in TD percentage on long passes. These QBs threw a touchdown at the highest rate when throwing the ball 20 or more yards downfield: Quarterback Touchdown percentage not only can tell you how successful a QB is at throwing deep, but also how successful their receivers are at finishing the explosive plays by scoring. And for those looking for how each player’s completion percentage compares, check out this tweet from Dan Pizzuta of Sharp Football Analysis. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers displayed MVP-like accuracy, while Baker Mayfield of the Browns and Kyler Murray of the Cardinals showed us that their future in this area looks bright.įor those wondering, Mitchell Trubisky (32%), Joe Flacco (39%) and Carson Wentz (39%) were the bottom three quarterbacks on the list. Among the more prolific deep throwers, it was tight at the top of the leaderboard. He had 28 deep attempts in 2020 and had an on-target percentage of 70% on them. The Athletic has around-the-clock coverage of the NFL Draft.Follow our NFL Draft Round 4-7 live blog and round 2-3 winners and losers, round 2 grades and best available players. Patriots quarterback Cam Newton tops this list partly because of where we set our qualifier (25 attempts). On-Target Percentage looks at the percentage of passes that hit the receiver in stride.īelow is a table of the season leaders in On-Target Percentage on deep balls for 2020. It is one thing to attempt deep passes it is a whole other thing to be accurate on them. While he threw the ball deep often, his on-target percentage of 50% was below league-average (52%) and ranked tied for 19th among our 32 qualifiers. Perhaps a surprise in the top eight is Drew Lock of the Broncos, a second-year signal caller, though he was known for his arm in college. With a head coach in Bruce Arians who loves to take deep shots, and a supporting cast of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown, this does not come as a surprise.įalcons quarterback Matt Ryan ended the 2020 season with an NFL-high 626 pass attempts and he likes to throw long, so it’s not shocking that he’s second on this list. Which quarterbacks have thrown deep the most so far in the 2020 season? The answer is in the table below: Quarterbackīuccaneers quarterback Tom Brady ends the year as the league-leader in deep passes attempted. That defense has to plan around the deep shots, leaving safeties back and loading the box at a lower rate. Minimum of 25 deep pass attempts.Ī quarterback who is known as a risk taker will always keep a defense honest. Who were the best NFL QBs at completing the long pass this season? This article will take a look at different stats ranging from usage to overall effectiveness.įor our purposes, we’re referring to balls thrown at least 20 yards downfield, unless otherwise stated. That wasn’t the only such meaningful deep throw of 2020. Brown that allowed the team to kick a field goal and win the game. Then Ryan Tannehill completed a deep pass to A.J. They were tied with less than a minute left and it looked like the game would go into overtime. In Week 17 of the 2020 NFL season, the Titans needed to secure a victory against the Texans. Completing a deep pass can be a vital turning point in a game.
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